Saturday, December 11, 2004

China on Verge of Catching US. Then What?
Business Week has an interesting stat - assuming that current rates of economic growth continue (big assumption, but assume it anyway), guess how long it will be until China catches the United States? Answer - 10 years. And you know what else, India is probably right around there as well.

So let's say China does catch us in the near future. Then what on the international stage? Will we see the return of the multi-polar world, with India, China, and the U.S. as the main fulcrums and Europe twisting in the winds on the sidelines (ironically, given France's and Germany's repeated desire to become bigger players through a larger United Nations)? How would our policy aims differ? How can these nations become more our partners with their increased strength?

No comments: