Bush or Kerry
If you lean libertarian and this is your dilmmena, I'm in your shoes, but if you've decided to vote major party, I think Bush is marginally better. First, a win for Kerry will be determined on some level to be a victory for foreign policy weakness by our enemies and erstwhile allies, which would lower our long term security and future diplomatic room to manuever. Second, while Bush has been bad on trade, he at least talks the talk if not walking the walk. Kerry not only walks like a protectionist - he's unabashadly for it. Finally, as you alluded to earlier, Kerry will spend more money than Bush. Of course Bush's spending record is atrocius, but I don't want it to get worse.