I decided not to go into specifics, because the swing voter doesn't care about them. My feeling was that Bush was less prepared than Kerry, and seemed quite evasive. On the other hand, if you were one of the ten people in the country who can explain Kerry's Iraq position, you win a cookie. If you believe that position is workable, you lose it.
My prediction is that Bush loses some momentum and Kerry cuts his lead to two or three points.